The most demanded profession of tomorrow
Brutal future once again is approaching the tragic footsteps of Godzilla, threatening to break the habitual way our already not the most joyful life. Futurists, analysts and fans to panic flood the network tatami with the same thesis: “People, you too much. You don’t need so many. Robots and artificial intelligence will squeeze you out of the job market, and you’ll die in poverty!”
And it can not say that these prophets are mistaken. Indeed, the new technology hanging over us like an avalanche and threatening soon to fall, a new technological revolution. And the structure of employment will change, there is no doubt. So what to do?
Some propose to introduce an unconditional income: a sum of money, a lifetime pension, which will be issued to all citizens for consumption. And this is really a good idea, I personally like it, even though it is not a panacea but a palliative.
Other figures are beginning to struggle with new technology, resembling the notorious Luddites. Google, for example, “London taxi drivers against UBER”. And this is not a way out, and turn in the dead end.
Still others — the majority of the population, as always, does nothing, wisely considering that life more intelligent than humans, and therefore will decide this complex issue. The position is quite decent, but quite unhelpful.
Let’s be a little more proactive and talk about the fourth scenario? I propose that we examine the profession of the near future according to the adherents of cryptates.
As you may have guessed, the reduced mass of workers a new profession can give blockchain. This wonderful technology we use extremely narrowly and almost exclusively for Finance. But it hidden just awesome …
Let’s remember about smart contracts. What is it, in fact? This is nothing more than a standard Bank letter of credit embodied in the code. People have long been puzzled by the paradox of the time of the transaction: any transfer of property rights cannot be implemented instantly. Always or the buyer must pay the price first, or the seller to provide the goods to the buyer and then receive payment.
Well, when it comes to buying sneakers in a stall in the corner, then the risks are minimal. But if we’re talking about the supply of something big and heavy, and even between different jurisdictions, and even if at the time of the transaction of the product itself is not even? Here the buyer and seller happy (because it is not free) will help the third party acting as a guarantor of the transaction. It is a Bank that will take the buyer’s money on Deposit and pay the seller in case of fulfillment of all conditions of the contract. Well, or not give, if the seller can not cope with the supply in full, to the required quality and within the specified period.
The first credits appeared on the markets of commoditv, that is raw materials. Oil, coal, metals, grain, and similar goods are sold in huge quantities, costly to transport, and are often sold from one country to another. The quality and parameters of raw materials from different sources are quite different, and the cargo has the ability to change their characteristics during long transportation. And this despite the fact that raw — goods exchange, and the basis of derivatives, and therefore should be as depersonalized and reduced to a common standard. How to trade in such complex substances?
Firstly, it is necessary to shift the control over execution of the transaction to the third party, able to cover any costs relating to this transaction. It is obvious that it was a Bank. Secondly, someone needed to shift the responsibility for the control parameters of the load. To “a” company from Singapore could buy oil on the stock exchange in new York, a trader from Switzerland, and the company “B” from Nigeria could ship this oil and it was oil and not black goo of unknown origin. This requires accredited laboratories around the route of the cargo. A kind of Oracle, which will report to the Bank all right, it’s exactly what they promised, release the payment.
An example of such an Oracle in the market commoditv company SGS. This is a huge (franchise, among other things) a network of laboratories around the world with an impeccable reputation. Without such a network commodities trading on a global scale would be extremely difficult. In reality, all procedures in this market is polished to glitter and to trade today the same oil is even easier than sneakers in a stall in the corner.
Smart contract on the blockchain removes from the transaction the third party. For realizing the smart contract does not need any intermediary Bank, its role is substitutes the code. But the Oracle is absolutely necessary.
A trivial example of such Oracle is the usual electric meter, sealed by the authorized organization. How many clocked, and get paid as much. Add to that automated online account, direct debiting, the database transaction in the blockchain and code for billing — and here’s the complete smart contract for the energy market. And you can even add penalties for the disconnection of electric power from the guaranteeing supplier and buying back capacity from households and the energy market will be almost perfect. But all this is just because the transmitted power is easy and simple to take into account and measure its parameters. Alas, not everything in this world you can consider and test only with the help of sensors, and the sensors sometimes tend to break and fail.
No matter how fancy your smart contract and which would cool the oracles of collecting information you use, it’s just code, and relations with the outside world had very little. Perhaps sometime in the future artificial intelligence will learn well enough to interpret real-world events that the person entering the information does not need at all, but we are still very far from this, and because the network is needed. Man as an external interface. People like a smart Oracle entering data from the real world.
Immediately the question arises: how reliable is the smart Oracle in the form of a man? Man — this is absolutely nesecary interface and generally the weakest link in the system. Any large company spends huge money to control personnel and still suffers from many of the mistakes of the employees and corporate corruption is hardly less government.
Mankind has never set ourselves the task that unable to solve, but because we imagine a bunch of crutches to reduce the role of the human factor. This system of multiple end-to-end accounting and audits, and external audit, and the allocation of the so-called “reliable sources”, and the introduction of criminal liability for fraudulent misrepresentation, and even the establishment of institutions of judges and notaries, who seem to be people, and all people are equal, but these people suddenly are more equal than others.
However, the system works poorly. Auditors mistaken or misled judges and notaries are bribed, create fake news, databases and reports are correct in hindsight, and so on and so forth.
The blockchain is already able to solve the problem of fake reports and fixes database. Unauthorized to change the information in the block chain extremely hard, and quietly make it impossible. The blockchain system is able to solve the problem of corporate and government corruption, and hence to make the human interface network is much more reliable and safe. And now the decision will create a huge number of new jobs and a new profession.
How to do it? Very simple. We have to admit that even though the human community is a peer to peer network where every node person has equal rights and opportunities for all people differ from each other. Experience, skills, knowledge, and reputation combine these categories with the term “social status”. As I wrote earlier, the social status should correspond to the economic, and if the assessment of economic status we came up with the money, social status does not really formalized.
Yes, from early childhood, we make an assessment, appropriate to the degree, grades and tolerances, but these systems are also very imperfect and poorly protected from fraud. So we need the corporate, sectoral and global systems evaluate the reputation of people to turning them into verifiable smart oracles and conditionally Saturnia network interfaces. Then we can use smart contracts for virtually any type of trades and all people interact in society on the basis of consensus. And tying rewards to a system of global reputation, we firmly bind the social and economic status, creating in the end a truly just society, about which philosophers had dreamed of since ancient times.
Smart Oracle is the most promising profession of the future. In my humble opinion, of course.
And Yes, I’m already anticipating comments about “1984”, cryptofascism and scripteditor. Indeed, the system outlined by me is the most brutal dictatorship the like of which has never been in the history of mankind. But in this dictatorship the dictator is decentralized, and all network nodes are equally possibilities.
And now? And now — no. Asymmetric access to information makes every person in the hostage system. We are already constantly evaluate, but the evaluation system is imperfect and their algorithms, we do not end up known and are not protected from fraud, clean up and cheat. Moreover, we do not know most of the exhibited estimates and we can not use them as argument in economic activities.
Digital dictatorship has arrived, we live under the hood of Big brother, or rather, many smaller, but no less cruel and strict brothers who sometimes even argue among themselves. A logical development of the situation is decentralization and publicity systems of human evaluation as a smart Oracle in each sphere of competence, formalization of social capital and turning it into an economic tool.
The only way we can transform each of us into the web interface, and it will give a key to a new labor market is truly cyclopean proportions.
Was born in Yevpatoria, Crimea.
Was educated at Omsk state University on a speciality “Matmodelirovanie” mathematical faculty “Sociology and labour Economics”, faculty of Economics, and part-time MBA at CUHK, Hong Kong.
From 2008 to 2016 lived in worked in China, Shenzhen to Russia, and after Chinese projects.
In the field of blockchain busy in 2013. Has deep theoretical knowledge and extensive practice in the subject. Adhere to the positions of cryptates.
Currently lives and works in Moscow as a senior philosopher and speaker of the big blockchain.
Creator, entertainer, superstar.